The Halting Progress Report on Bernanke
Published on January 25th, 2010 @ 04:55:31 pm , using 572 words
Krugman sort of endorses re-appointing Bernanke. Sign of the times. What is less worse? Story earlier today on NPR about the deficit citing increase of same as possible jobs promoter, or not as bad as deficit hawks think. We have to face so much unpalatable music in these times. Let's hope we can find some light at the end of some of these multiple tunnels. BP
Krugman:
Mr. Bernanke is a superb research economist. And from the spring of 2008 to the spring of 2009 his academic expertise and his policy role meshed perfectly, as he used aggressive, unorthodox tactics to head off a second Great Depression.
Unfortunately, that’s not the whole story. Before the crisis struck, Mr. Bernanke was very much a conventional, mainstream Fed official, sharing fully in the institution’s complacency. Worse, after the acute phase of the crisis ended he slipped right back into that mainstream. Once again, the Fed is dangerously complacent — and once again, Mr. Bernanke seems to share that complacency.
Consider two issues: financial reform and unemployment.
Back in July, Mr. Bernanke spoke out against a key reform proposal: the creation of a new consumer financial protection agency. He urged Congress to maintain the current situation, in which protection of consumers from unfair financial practices is the Fed’s responsibility.
But here’s the thing: During the run-up to the crisis, as financial abuses proliferated, the Fed did nothing. In particular, it ignored warnings about subprime lending. So it was striking that in his testimony Mr. Bernanke didn’t acknowledge that failure, didn’t explain why it happened, and gave no reason to believe that the Fed would behave differently in the future. His message boiled down to “We know what we’re doing — trust us.”
As I said, the Fed has returned to a dangerous complacency.
And then there’s unemployment. The economy may not have collapsed, but it’s in terrible shape, with job-seekers outnumbering job openings six to one. Nor does Mr. Bernanke expect any quick improvement: last month, while predicting that unemployment will fall, he conceded that the rate of decline will be “slower than we would like.” So what does he propose doing to create jobs?
Nothing. Mr. Bernanke has offered no hint that he feels the need to adopt policies that might bring unemployment down faster. Instead, he has responded to suggestions for further Fed action with boilerplate about “the anchoring of inflation expectations.” It’s harsh but true to say that he’s acting as if it’s Mission Accomplished now that the big banks have been rescued.
What happened here? My sense is that Mr. Bernanke, like so many people who work closely with the financial sector, has ended up seeing the world through bankers’ eyes. The same can be said about Timothy Geithner, the Treasury secretary, and Larry Summers, the Obama administration’s top economist. But they’re not up before the Senate, while Mr. Bernanke is.
Given that, why not reject Mr. Bernanke? There are other people with the intellectual heft and policy savvy to take on his role: among the possible choices would be my Princeton colleague Alan Blinder, a former Fed vice chairman, and Janet Yellen, the president of the San Francisco Fed.
But — and here comes my defense of a Bernanke reappointment — any good alternative for the position would face a bruising fight in the Senate. And choosing a bad alternative would have truly dire consequences for the economy.
Paul Krugman, NYTimes, 25Jan 10
1 comment
I am a friend of Debbie Hammack from Placides and Corrales who knows you from years past. I have been here in San Miguel studying Spanish for the month of February, but will be leaving tomorrow. I've been doing a little research on Neal Cassady's era and time here, and Debbie says you know a lot about those days. Anything you can share will be appreciated. If you wish you can give me a phone # and we can have a chat. Otherwise, it's open ended. I think Debbie told me that you know Gregory Corso. Did he ever pass himself off as Allen Ginsberg to your knowledge? Do you know about Cassady, Corso, Ginsberg or Kerouac being in San Miguel? Do you know about Cassady and Kesey and Kesey's bus visiting here in 1964?
Anything you can or wish to share will be welcome.
Thanks,
Pete Ferry


